SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Mazatlan |
35.16% ( -0.05) | 25.46% ( 0) | 39.38% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.02) | 47.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.02) | 70.06% ( 0.01) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.04) | 26.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.52% ( -0.05) | 61.48% ( 0.05) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( 0.02) | 24.01% ( -0.02) |
