Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 60.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.