Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
