Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
