Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
