Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Club America had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
