SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Tigres |
37.5% ( -0.02) | 25.26% ( 0.06) | 37.22% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.3) | 46.87% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( -0.28) | 69.12% ( 0.27) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.15) | 24.54% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( -0.2) | 59.02% ( 0.2) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.16) | 24.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -0.22) | 59.23% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.22% |
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