Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
49.02% ( -0.01)	23.56% ( 0.07)	27.42% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.39% (

-0.36)

42.61% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

-0.36)

65.01% (

0.37)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

-0.14)

17.53% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.94% (

-0.25)

48.06% (

0.25)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.23)

28.76% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.29)

64.6% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 49.02%

Toluca 27.42%

Draw 23.56%

Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.42%