Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.51) 
-0.65) 
