Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.