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Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Mar 9, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 1
Tijuana

Sosa (40' pen.), Alvarez (42')
Calzadilla (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Castillo (35')
Angulo (17'), Sansores (77')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Club Tijuana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawClub Tijuana
49.74%26.84%23.43%
Both teams to score 45.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22%58.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23%23.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09%57.91%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.1%40.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54%77.46%
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 49.73%
    Club Tijuana 23.43%
    Draw 26.83%
PachucaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.43%

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