Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.