Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.