Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
40.15% ( -1.05)	28.27% ( 0.25)	31.58% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 46.35% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.27% (

-0.67)

59.73% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

-0.51)

80.03% (

0.51)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.91)

29.1% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-1.14)

65.02% (

1.14)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38% (

0.23)

34.62% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.24)

71.34% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 40.15%

Monterrey 31.57%

Draw 28.26%

Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 31.57%