Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 21, 2022 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Monterrey.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
40.15% ( -1.05) | 28.27% ( 0.25) | 31.58% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.43) |
| 40.27% ( -0.67) | 59.73% ( 0.66) |
| 19.97% ( -0.51) | 80.03% ( 0.51) |
| 70.9% ( -0.91) | 29.1% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -1.14) | 65.02% ( 1.14) |
| 65.38% ( 0.23) | 34.62% ( -0.23) |
