Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
