Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match.
-0.8) 
0.28) 
