Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
2.74) 
-0.8) 
