Cruz Azul
4 - 0
Toluca

Angulo (3', 34'), Gimenez (5'), Pineda (71')
Martinez (38'), Alvarado (77')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ortega (37'), Baeza (76'), Torres (88')
Ortega (39')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
55.32%	24.49%	20.2%

Both teams to score 47.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62%

53.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08%

74.92%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1%

50.9%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91%

41.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37%

77.64%

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 55.31%

Toluca 20.2%

Draw 24.48%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.02% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.25% 4-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.2%