Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
