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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Apr 3, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
3 - 1
Mazatlan

Ormeno (45+6' pen.), Reyes Chavez (64'), Araujo (73')
Segovia (5'), Fernandez (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Augusto (16')
Vikonis (10'), Diaz (37'), Juan Boy Espinoza (45+1'), Aristeguieta (62'), Meraz (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Mazatlan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawMazatlan
43.12%28%28.88%
Both teams to score 46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.9%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.38%36.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59%73.41%
Score Analysis
    Puebla 43.12%
    Mazatlan 28.87%
    Draw 28%
PueblaDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.87%

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