Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
