Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.