Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
