Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.
