SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 47.77% | 25.08% | 27.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% | 49.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% | 20.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.64% | 53.36% |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% | 32.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% | 69.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.15% |
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