Toluca
1 - 0
Pumas

Canelo (88')
Barbieri (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (41'), Torres (55'), Vasquez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
47.77%	25.08%	27.15%

Both teams to score 53.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54%

49.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5%

71.5%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27%

20.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64%

53.36%

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45%

32.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92%

69.08%

Score Analysis

Toluca 47.76%

Pumas 27.15%

Draw 25.08%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.76%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.15%