Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.
Result | ||
Pumas | Draw | Toluca |
49.3% | 25.93% | 24.76% |
Both teams to score 48.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% | 54.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% | 75.88% |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% | 22.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% | 55.53% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% | 37.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% | 74.06% |
Score Analysis |
Pumas | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.76% |
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