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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Universitario

Pumas
1 - 0
Toluca

Garcia (75' og.)
Mozo (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Estrada (51'), Sauro (65'), Ortega (70')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.

Result
PumasDrawToluca
49.3%25.93%24.76%
Both teams to score 48.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47%54.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12%75.88%
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85%22.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46%55.53%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73%37.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94%74.06%
Score Analysis
    Pumas 49.3%
    Toluca 24.76%
    Draw 25.93%
PumasDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.76%


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