Queretaro
4 - 1
Toluca

Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guemez (77')
Sauro (18'), Sartiaguin (58'), Cisneros (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
39.79%	27.02%	33.19%

Both teams to score 50.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25%

54.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94%

76.06%

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74%

62.26%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.22%

Score Analysis

Queretaro 39.79%

Toluca 33.19%

Draw 27.01%

Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.19%