Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON
We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Toluca
Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
43.09% ( -0.05) | 25.77% ( 0.1) | 31.14% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.34) |
| 49.73% ( -0.43) | 50.27% ( 0.43) |
| 27.78% ( -0.38) | 72.22% ( 0.38) |
| 76.79% ( -0.21) | 23.21% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.89% ( -0.31) | 57.1% ( 0.31) |
| 69.95% ( -0.25) | 30.05% ( 0.25) |
