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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 0
Toluca


Beltran (45')
FT

Baeza (64'), Pereira (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Toluca

Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
43.09% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 25.77% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 31.14% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.428 -0.43)50.27% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.381 -0.38)72.22% (0.384 0.38)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)23.21% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.309 -0.31)57.1% (0.311 0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.245 -0.25)30.05% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.299 -0.3)66.18% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 43.08%
    Toluca 31.14%
    Draw 25.76%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 America
Thursday, May 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, May 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Queretaro
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, May 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-5 Toluca
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX


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