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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Barrera (55' pen.)
Garcia (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gutierrez (10'), Alvarado (34' pen.)
Marin (80'), Sanchez (90+5')
Marin (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Queretaro
Saturday, October 28 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-4 Tigres
Sunday, October 29 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
31.12% (-0.044 -0.04) 27.32% (0.038 0.04) 41.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.92% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.163 -0.16)56.42% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.132 -0.13)77.43% (0.125 0.13)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (-0.116 -0.12)33.21% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.127 -0.13)69.81% (0.12 0.12)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.75% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)62.02% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 31.12%
    CD Guadalajara 41.55%
    Draw 27.32%
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Queretaro
Saturday, October 28 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Tijuana
Sunday, October 22 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-0 Queretaro
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Club Leon
Saturday, September 30 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-3 Queretaro
Sunday, September 24 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-4 Tigres
Sunday, October 29 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, October 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, October 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-3 Mazatlan
Wednesday, September 27 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 24 at 2am in Liga MX


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