Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	CD Guadalajara
48.56% ( 0.31)	24.32% ( -0.04)	27.12% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78% (

-0.01)

46.22% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.49% (

-0.01)

68.51% (

0.01)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

0.12)

19.11% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

0.2)

50.74% (

-0.19)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0.2)

30.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

-0.24)

67.14% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Toluca 48.56%

CD Guadalajara 27.12%

Draw 24.32%

Toluca	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.56%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.12%