Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.