Pachuca
1 - 2
Toluca

Alvarez (14')
Angel Herrera (37'), Sanchez (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gonzalez (32'), Rigonato Rodrigues (89')
Ortega (45+2')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
44.75%	27.5%	27.75%

Both teams to score 46.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.58%

58.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98%

79.02%

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74%

26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97%

61.03%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.14%

36.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.35%

73.65%

Score Analysis

Pachuca 44.75%

Toluca 27.75%

Draw 27.5%

Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.75%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.75%