Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
