Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.