It may have been a while since Lens' peculiar drawing streak, but this is a very tough game to call on paper, with little to separate the sides in the table, and the hosts enjoying a superb run of form at home.
Four games without a win in this fixture suggests it will be far from easy for the hosts to maintain that incredible home record across 2024, but they are more than capable of getting a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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