Lens have not managed to find the back of the net in their last two Ligue 1 home games, but facing a leggy and injury-ravaged Lille side might be the hosts' ticket to halting that toothless streak in front of goal.
However, one trend we cannot see ending is the hosts' propensity to play out draws, as Genesio's men have been steadily building momentum over the past few weeks and should be good enough to avoid defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
