SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
58.34% ( 0.15) | 21.49% ( -0.11) | 20.17% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.45) | 40.83% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( 0.2) | 13.73% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( 0.38) | 40.99% ( -0.38) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.22) | 33.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.17% |
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