Toulouse have been inconsistent at home, but their overall form suggests that they will at least make Sunday's clash a competitive affair.
Despite Auxerre's struggles on the road this season, they have at least started to improve away from home, so they should be considered slight favourites to claim another three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.12) 
