SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Reims |
33.33% ( 0.05) | 26.4% ( 0.06) | 40.26% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( -0.25) | 52.25% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( -0.22) | 73.95% ( 0.22) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.09) | 29.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( -0.11) | 65.61% ( 0.11) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.18) | 25.52% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( -0.24) | 60.37% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.25% |
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