SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Angers |
57.55% ( 1.53) | 22.48% ( -0.49) | 19.98% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.74) | 45.53% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.14% ( 0.7) | 67.86% ( -0.69) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( 0.78) | 15.56% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% ( 1.43) | 44.51% ( -1.43) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.63) | 36.82% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( -0.64) | 73.6% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.98% |
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