SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Angers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Nice |
32.81% ( 0.14) | 26.32% ( 0.19) | 40.87% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.75) | 52.03% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.65) | 73.76% ( 0.65) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.28) | 29.81% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.34) | 65.89% ( 0.34) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -0.51) | 25.1% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( -0.71) | 59.8% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.87% |
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