We said: Angers 1-1 Troyes
Neither Angers or Troyes will be able to name their strongest starting lineups on Saturday, meaning that we could see a more even contest played out at the Stade Jean-Bouin. With little to separate the two teams, a score draw could be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
