Keeping the back door shut has been a problem for Lyon all season long, but Bosz's side ought to take advantage of this prime opportunity to end their miserable drawing streak.
Troyes' solid home form and Lyon's underwhelming away form will have the home faithful believing that an upset could come to fruition, but a Paqueta-inspired Gones should run out convincing winners.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
