SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 45.01% | 25.96% | 29.03% |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% | 51.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.7% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% | 23.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% | 32.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.06% | 68.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.03% |
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