Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
