MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 06:57:25
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May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK at Stade Louis II
Monaco
4 - 2
Brest
Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawBrest
67.41% (0.0010000000000048 0) 19.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.23%
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (0.0020000000000024 0)44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.38% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55%80.45% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 67.41%
    Brest 13.23%
    Draw 19.35%
MonacoDrawBrest
2-0 @ 11.98%
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.78%
5-0 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 67.41%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.35%
0-1 @ 4.35%
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Monaco
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-4 Monaco
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Nice
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Monaco
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Brest
Saturday, April 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG38268490365486
2Marseille38218963382571
3MonacoMonaco38209965402569
4Rennes382061282404266
5Nice382071152361666
6StrasbourgStrasbourg381712960431763
7Lens3817111062481462
8Lyon3817111066511561
9NantesNantes381510135548755
10Lille381413114848055
11Brest38139164957-848
12Reims381113144344-146
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier38127194961-1243
14Angers381011174455-1141
15Troyes38911183753-1638
16Lorient38812183563-2836
17Clermont3899203869-3136
18Saint-EtienneSt Etienne38711204277-3532
19Metz38613193569-3431
20Bordeaux38613195291-3931
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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan38268469313886
2Inter Milan38259484325284
3Napoli38247774314379
4Juventus382010857372070
5Lazio3818101077581964
6Roma381891159431663
7Fiorentina38195145951862
8Atalanta BCAtalanta3816111165481759
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona381411136559653
10Torino381311144641550
11SassuoloSassuolo381311146466-250
12Udinese381114136158347
13Bologna381210164455-1146
14Empoli381011175070-2041
15Sampdoria38106224663-1736
16SpeziaSpezia38106224171-3036
17Salernitana38710213378-4531
18CagliariCagliari38612203468-3430
RGenoa38416182760-3328
RVeneziaVenezia3869233469-3527
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