Saint-Etienne are showing fight in their bid to avoid the drop, but they are coming up against a Monaco side full of confidence, and we anticipate an away win.
The visitors will aim to strengthen their pursuit of the top three with a sixth straight win, and they boast the quality to cruise past the strugglers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.