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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
L

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Lyon

Lyon have struggled for victories on their travels in Ligue 1 this season, and with their last three away matches in all competitions ending in draws, we think that the visitors will be held to a point by Brest on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
21.38%22.22%56.4%
Both teams to score 56.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48%42.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08%64.91%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.35%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.73%43.27%
Score Analysis
    Brest 21.38%
    Lyon 56.4%
    Draw 22.21%
BrestDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.66%
1-0 @ 5.46%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.38%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.56%
0-2 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 6.28%
0-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.75%
2-4 @ 1.63%
1-5 @ 1.14%
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 56.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Brest
Saturday, April 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Brest
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-0 Brest
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-4 Marseille
Sunday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Brest
Saturday, March 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 6-1 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 West Ham
Thursday, April 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 10 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Lyon
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Angers
Sunday, April 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, March 20 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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