Lyon have struggled for victories on their travels in Ligue 1 this season, and with their last three away matches in all competitions ending in draws, we think that the visitors will be held to a point by Brest on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
