Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
