Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
