Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.